Bitcoin valuation metric indicates 96% probability of BTC price recovery by 2026

Bitcoin is currently trading at 87,367 USD, which is 31.4% below its all-time high of 126,000 USD. A historical analysis shows that price drops below network value often precede market recoveries.

By mid-2026, ongoing institutional buying and positive network activity are expected to drive BTC’s price back towards or above its fair value, as per Metcalfe’s law.

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