Polymarket bettors predict nearly 50% chance of recession as tariffs hit markets

Current data shows that 47% of Polymarket bettors predict a U.S. Recession in 2025, which marks a stark increase from 20% at the start of the year. This change reflects growing concerns in the financial community.

The recent ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs announced by President Trump triggered a notable fall in the Dow Jones by 1,300 points, raising fears of increasing costs for American consumers. Estimates suggest tariffs could add an annual burden of 2,700 USD to 3,400 USD to their expenses.