Polymarket traders assign only a 21% probability for Bitcoin to reach $150,000 this year

Traders believe there is just a 21% chance Bitcoin will reach $150,000 this year. Meanwhile, analysts anticipate a bullish trend in 2026, but current trading confidence remains subdued.

The safest bet appears to be Bitcoin reaching $100,000, with an 80% probability. Predictions show 45% for $120,000, while higher targets like $130,000 to $150,000 have significantly lower odds.

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