Recovery of Bitcoin derivatives post-October crash may extend until Q2

The October 10 crash led to a staggering 19 billion USD loss in Bitcoin derivatives open interest, reducing total open interest to roughly 140 billion USD from 220 billion USD. March 2026 could see a return to pre-crash levels if macroeconomic conditions improve.

On the day of the crash, derivatives volumes hit 748 billion USD, which stabilized around 300 billion USD afterward. Bullish and bearish options reflect significant investment clusters at key strike prices, suggesting a quieter market leading into the year’s end.

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